A fact-checked analysis of Pierre Poilievre’s response to Justin Trudeau’s resignation, exploring the claims, the data, and what it means for Canada’s future.

When Justin Trudeau announced his resignation pending the selection of a new Liberal leader, I knew I’d open Facebook to a ton of chirping from many people on both sides of the political spectrum. Some think we need a change but can’t seem to articulate why. Others feel like they’re less manly if they vote for any party other than the Conservatives, and others think they will make Canada Great Again…whatever that means.

Anywhoo…here’s my reaction video below and the original video can be seen here.

As I watched his video and recorded my reaction, it became clear: rhetoric aside, Canadians need clarity on what these changes mean for their daily lives. So, let’s dive into some of the boldest claims from his message, supported by fact-checking and excerpts from my reaction video.

Breaking Down the Claims

Claim 1: “Liberals have doubled the cost of homes.”

“Yes, housing prices are out of control, but is it all Trudeau’s fault? Let’s put that into perspective.” – From my reaction video

Fact: Home prices have risen approximately 60% since 2015, not doubled. The average home price climbed from $450,000 in 2015 to $730,000 in 2023.

Context: While federal policies on housing supply and affordability are factors, they’re part of a broader picture. Global market trends, low interest rates, and chronic supply shortages have all played a role.

For the average Canadian family, the rise in housing prices translates to monthly mortgage payments increasing from around $1,800 in 2015 to $3,400 today (based on a 5% fixed rate over 25 years). Blaming federal policies exclusively ignores these systemic contributors.

Claim 2: “The carbon tax is destroying jobs and costing households a fortune.”

“Poilievre’s focus on the carbon tax hits a nerve, but let’s unpack what it really costs you—and the jobs argument doesn’t stick.” – From my reaction video

Fact: The carbon tax costs households between $402 and $847 annually after rebates, varying by province. No significant evidence suggests large-scale job losses caused by the tax.

Context: The carbon tax is designed to incentivize reduced emissions, contributing to Canada’s climate targets. While critics argue it adds financial strain, others point out its importance in the transition to a greener economy. For example, rebates in provinces like Ontario nearly offset the increased costs for lower-income households.

Claim 3: “Crime has skyrocketed under Liberal policies.”

“Crime numbers are up, but we can’t ignore the impact of societal shifts, economic factors, and yes, population growth.” – From my reaction video

Fact: While violent crime and hate crimes have increased, the per capita trends are less dramatic.

• Violent crime per capita rose by 10.5% from 2015 to 2023.
• Hate crimes per capita surged by 144.4% in the same period, reflecting broader societal challenges like polarization and extremism.

Context: The reality is nuanced. Policies like bail reform have contributed to concerns, but addressing root causes—poverty, addiction, and systemic inequality—requires more than tougher laws. This is where federal and provincial governments must collaborate.

Claim 4: “The government’s spending is out of control.”

“Debt and deficits sound alarming, but how do we compare globally? Numbers matter here.” – From my reaction video

Fact: Canada’s debt-to-GDP ratio, at 42.2%, is the lowest in the G7. Federal deficits have decreased from their pandemic peak of $327.7 billion to $61.9 billion in 2023-2024.

Context: While spending remains a point of contention, Canada’s fiscal position is relatively strong compared to its global peers. The concern isn’t just how much we’re spending but whether it’s being used efficiently to address issues like housing and healthcare.

Final Thoughts: Change or Continuity?

Trudeau’s resignation offers a chance to reset, but as Poilievre’s critique highlights, meaningful change requires more than swapping leaders. It’s about policy evolution.

“Canadians deserve a clear path forward, not just political finger-pointing. Whether it’s housing, crime, or climate policies, we need actionable solutions—not slogans.” – From my reaction video

We’re at a crossroads. The onus is on all political leaders, not just the Liberals, to rise above rhetoric and deliver results. For voters, this means scrutinizing promises and holding leaders accountable.

What’s your take? Let’s keep this conversation going. If you’d like some more fun reading, you can start my 8 Part Series on the Pierre Poilievre & Jordan Peterson interview…hint…it required a ton of fact checking.

 

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